{"id":3020,"date":"2024-09-07T16:02:50","date_gmt":"2024-09-07T20:02:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/?p=3020"},"modified":"2026-01-07T14:28:39","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T19:28:39","slug":"doubling-down-on-ai-skepticism","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/doubling-down-on-ai-skepticism\/","title":{"rendered":"Doubling Down on AI-skepticism"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"x_elementToProof\">This oped is a second salvo fired at the prevailing AI mania. In the first I had attacked its magical great leap forward thinking, <u><a id=\"OWA74397797-d2e4-d786-1128-97716cd071a4\" class=\"x_OWAAutoLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/ai-more-gradual-and-diffuse-than-sudden-and-transformational-by-amar-bhide-2024-04?utm_source=linkedin&amp;utm_medium=oganic-social&amp;utm_campaign=page-posts-april24&amp;utm_term=innovation-tech&amp;utm_content=link-image\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"0\">calling LLMs mendacious talking horses.<\/a><\/u><\/p>\n<div class=\"x__Entity x__EType_OWALinkPreview x__EId_OWALinkPreview x__EReadonly_1\">\n<div id=\"LPBorder_GTaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubXNuLmNvbS9lbi11cy9tb25leS90ZWNobm9sb2d5L2FpLWNhbi10LWxpdmUtdXAtdG8tdGhlLW1hcmtldC1zLWV4cGVjdGF0aW9ucy13aHktdGhlLXBhcnR5LWlzLW92ZXIvYXItQUExcTFTdTM.\" class=\"x_LPBorder431527\">\n<table id=\"LPContainer431527\" role=\"presentation\">\n<tbody>\n<tr valign=\"top\">\n<td><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone \" src=\"https:\/\/images.barrons.com\/im-89725206?width=639&amp;size=1.5005861664712778\" width=\"288\" height=\"192\" \/><\/td>\n<td>\n<div id=\"LPTitle431527\"><a id=\"LPUrlAnchor431527\" href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/articles\/ai-markets-invest-nvidia-microsoft-google-tech-b0836983?st=gvl3ur1kwe54puq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"3\">AI Can\u2019t Live Up to the Market\u2019s Expectations. Why the Party Is Over.<\/a><\/div>\n<div id=\"LPDescription431527\">Artificial intelligence is already a mature enterprise, Amar Bhid\u00e9 writes.<\/div>\n<div id=\"LPMetadata431527\"><\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<p>This oped, published in <em>Barron&#8217;s<\/em>\u00a0 digs into the statistical models that make them so.Writing a book that <u><a id=\"OWA489bce9c-0bfd-bec3-d86d-11c8c534e31d\" class=\"x_OWAAutoLink\" href=\"https:\/\/global.oup.com\/academic\/product\/uncertainty-and-enterprise-9780197688359?cc=us&amp;lang=en&amp;\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"4\">Oxford will publish in December<\/a><\/u> has contributed to my long standing skepticism about backward looking models that ignore change and context.<\/p>\n<p>Trying to use LLMs to research, edit, and illustrate the book was a source of unending frustration (though \u201cearlier\u201d AI was invaluable).<\/p>\n<p>I also learned that AI grew out of a &#8220;fork&#8221; in the cognitive revolution of the 1950s and 1960s which conceived of the mind as a computer.\u00a0 A second fork treated the mind as a &#8220;meaning constructor&#8221; where meaning was highly contextual, historical and cultural.<\/p>\n<p>Both forks have value. But reducing all thought and speech to a mindless statistical model is absurd.<\/p>\n<p>(ps.\u00a0 Email me if you&#8217;d like to look at the nearly final proofs of the book and don&#8217;t hesitate to <u><a id=\"OWA7d1815a7-a621-4e73-14b5-e8e80c3f7162\" class=\"x_OWAAutoLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Uncertainty-Enterprise-Venturing-Beyond-Known\/dp\/0197688357\/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3L4DNH4HJ6PK6&amp;dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.BXxPDQ4qvhjFky46MjxUrKGHdVSY5gcUy4BIe3xgHk_GjHj071QN20LucGBJIEps.hcplunS_Bv4t0jGxWcHUNbUNPPixBH_BFA4C8FRaRHU&amp;dib_tag=se&amp;keywords=uncertainty+and+enterprise+bhide&amp;qid=1725523510&amp;sprefix=uncertainty+and+ente%2Caps%2C68&amp;sr=8-1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"5\">pre-order on Amazon<\/a><\/u>!)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This oped is a second salvo fired at the prevailing AI mania. In the first I had attacked its magical<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[39,33,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-knightian-uncertainty-book","category-opeds-and-media","category-ruminations"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3020","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3020"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3020\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3489,"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3020\/revisions\/3489"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3020"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3020"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bhide.net\/wordpress_files\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3020"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}